# Critical Thinking MOC ### Decisions 1. [Startup Principles](Startup%20Principles.md) 1. [Decision by Design MOC](Decision%20by%20Design%20MOC.md) 2. [Decision Journals](Decision%20Journals.md) 3. [Prediction Quality vs Amount of Information in Horse Racing](Prediction%20Quality%20vs%20Amount%20of%20Information%20in%20Horse%20Racing.md) 4. [Socratic Questioning](Socratic%20Questioning.md) 5. [Simplify the Problem](Simplify%20the%20Problem.md) 6. [The Best Thinkers Do These Things](The%20Best%20Thinkers%20Do%20These%20Things.md) ### Mental Models 1. [First Principles Thinking](First%20Principles%20Thinking.md) 2. [Bottlenecks](Bottlenecks.md) 3. [Constraints in Math and Science](Constraints%20in%20Math%20and%20Science.md) 4. [Constraints Shape Your Thinking](Constraints%20Shape%20Your%20Thinking.md) 5. [Questions to ask yourself](Questions%20to%20ask%20yourself.md) 6. [Asking Questions Shows You Are Strict About Having A Crisp Mental Model](Asking%20Questions%20Shows%20You%20Are%20Strict%20About%20Having%20A%20Crisp%20Mental%20Model.md) ### Problem Framing 1. [Crop vs Weather Insurance](Crop%20vs%20Weather%20Insurance.md) 2. [Asking the right Question](Asking%20the%20right%20Question.md) ### Psychological Biases 1. [Confirmation Bias](Confirmation%20Bias.md) 2. [Survivorship Bias](Survivorship%20Bias.md) ### Logic and Reasoning 1. [Naive Empiricism](Naive%20Empiricism.md) 2. [Evidence Of Absence vs Absence of Evidence](Evidence%20Of%20Absence%20vs%20Absence%20of%20Evidence.md) 3. [Deduction vs Induction](Deduction%20vs%20Induction.md) 4. [Problem of Induction](Problem%20of%20Induction.md) ### Creativity 1. [Jootsing](Jootsing.md) 2. [Babble and Prune](Babble%20and%20Prune.md) 3. [Ask the Right Questions](Ask%20the%20Right%20Questions.md) 4. [Adjacent Possible](Adjacent%20Possible.md) 5. [Science Requires Creativity](Science%20Requires%20Creativity.md) 6. [Good Ideas Require Fermentation](Good%20Ideas%20Require%20Fermentation.md)